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2013 NCAA Bracket Predictions: Baylor Playing Its Way Out

by Matt Woods | February 23rd, 2013

Just one week ago our 2013 NCAA bracket predictions gave Baylor about a 75% chance to make the tournament. Since that time, however, the Bears lost at Kansas State and at home against Iowa State. As a result, Baylors odds to make the NCAA tournament are now just 36%.

That drop of nearly 40% was the largest for any team in the country in our NCAA bracket predictions.

While a win at projected 5-seed Kansas State certainly would have provided a quality win, the Iowa State loss my have been particularly damaging. In fact, the Cyclones were not represented in last Monday’s bracket predictions.

Baylor does still have contests against three projected tournament teams, Kansas State, Oklahoma, and Kansas, but without a strong finish and a significant jump in our NCAA bracket predictions, the Bears likely will find themselves on the wrong side of the bubble on selection Sunday.

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3 Responses to “2013 NCAA Bracket Predictions: Baylor Playing Its Way Out”  

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  1. John Says:

    Off-topic question: with a team like Baylor dropping, what’s the odds of Louisiana Tech getting an at-large bid if they run the table and lose in the conference final?

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  2. Petri Says:

    To John :

    As that would mean 2 additional RPI Top100-wins on road (@Denver, @NMSU) + almost Top100 win over Utah State, it would be pretty solid chance. Especially if that loss in final would come against Denver or NMSU.

    That said, La.Tech is probably underdog in both of afore-mentioned road games and IMO they would need both. Thus, I doubt this scenario holds…

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  3. Matt Woods Says:

    John,

    Sorry for the delay in response. Winning out until the conference final would give La Tech 30 wins, and that win total bracketology projections at TeamRankings.com give the Bulldogs 97.6% odds to make the tourney (http://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/team/louisiana-tech-bulldogs/bracketology).

    -Matt

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