Author Archive - David Mihm

Full Reaction to the Bracket

Well, like many analysts, I was surprised by many of the seeding decisions by this year’s Selection Committee.  Unlike many analysts, though, I thought that the Committee did an admirable job seeding the top half of the field…which, given the track records of teams seeded below the 8-line at making the final four, should probably… more »

2011 Bubble / Selection Sunday Open Thread

All teams (and conferences) below are listed in order on my S-Curve. UPDATED: Sunday morning at 8:45 am Pacific Time. Locks (57) Big East (11) Pittsburgh, Notre Dame, Syracuse, UConn, Louisville, West Virginia, St. John’s, Cincinnati, Georgetown, Marquette, Villanova Big Ten (3) Ohio State, Wisconsin, Purdue Big 12 (4) Kansas, Texas, Texas A&M, Kansas State… more »

“Sweet 16” Tips for Picking a Winning NCAA Bracket

My Full 2010 NCAA Tournament Predictions: MIDWEST REGION EAST REGION WEST REGION SOUTH REGION 1) The team with the most individual talent does not always win the national championship. In fact, in recent Tournament history, it only seems to happen about half the time. North Carolina won in ’05 with Sean May, Ray Felton, and… more »

Thoughts on the Final Tournament Bracket

Despite the fact this was one of my worst years ever (64/65 teams; only 50/65 within one line), Guerrero’s Committee did a perfectly fine job of selecting the field.  As I wrote in my Bubble Breakdown earlier this morning, I have no problem with the Gators being selected over Illinois. I don’t think the Illini,… more »

Bracketography’s NCAA Tournament Bubble Breakdown

Updated Sunday morning at 8:00 am PT. Bubble Math: 1) A team is only a “lock” if its chance of making the NCAA Tournament as an at-large is better than 95%. I really don’t like moving teams out of “lock” status because they’ve lost four games in a row. 2) 31 teams earn automatic bids… more »

Bracketography’s Saturday Night Bubble S-Curve

Just wanted to hit people with a quick run-down, in case you want to discuss.  I am off to watch the Big East and WAC Finals! Nines Old Dominion (CAA) Clemson UNLV Utah State (WAC) Tens Missouri Minnesota Washington (Pac-10) Florida State Elevens UTEP Louisville Wake Forest California Twelves Siena (MAAC) Cornell (Ivy) Illinois Georgia… more »

Thoughts on the Fourth #1 Seed

At this point, Kansas has all but locked up the overall #1 seed, in the Midwest region.  Syracuse and Kentucky will continue to battle for the #2/#3 line, but because Syracuse can’t play in the East region (whose semi-final and final it hosts), Kentucky will be in the East and Syracuse in the South.  Which… more »

The Heroes and Villains of Championship Week

As the calendar turns to March, America tingles with the anticipation of the Cinderella stories sure to emerge over the course of the next four weeks.  Blissfully ignorant of these “inferior leagues” these last four months, all eyes now turn to conferences like the Colonial, Horizon, and WAC. Especially if you’re a fan of a… more »

California’s Unique Resume

California won its first Pac-10 title in 50 years over the weekend by sweeping the Arizona schools at Haas Pavilion.  Congratulations to Mike Montgomery and all of the players.  Ordinarily that feat would mean a top-four seed, and with this year’s host sites, a first-round placement in San Jose. Not this year, however.  The Pac-10… more »

Team Profile: Old Dominion at Northern Iowa

Game Information: Old Dominion (20-7, 12-3 CAA) at Northern Iowa (22-3, 13-2 MVC) 7 p.m. ET, Friday, ESPN2/ESPN360.com About Old Dominion: 6’10″, 250 pound Gerald Lee leads the Monarchs at 14 points per game.  Surprisingly, Lee got in foul trouble against Georgetown’s Greg Monroe…and the Monarchs STILL won–if not a testament to the team’s depth,… more »

Illinois 76, Clemson 74

What looked early to be the least competitive game of the entire Big Ten-ACC Challenge ended up being its most intense. Early on, the Clemson Tigers could do no wrong, as Trevor Booker showed exactly why he’s in the discussion for ACC Player of the Year.  No Illini big man was able to figure out… more »

Thoughts on the 2009 NCAA Tournament Bracket

This is one of the better brackets in recent memory (of course I would say that, given my projection). But top-to-bottom, Mike Slive’s Committee did a fantastic job of selection and seeding. Surprises: Boston College: A 7-seed seems a bit high for a team that lost to Harvard and Saint Louis in the non-conference portion… more »

Oklahoma State Cowboys

Good Wins: N-Siena, Texas A&M, Texas, N-Oklahoma Bad Losses: None. Strengths: 1. Explosive Offense. Even with Missouri’s frenetic style, Kansas talent, and Oklahoma’s plethora of easy buckets, the Cowboys are actually the Big 12 scoring leaders at 81.1 per game.  Four players (James Anderson, Byron Eaton, Terrel Harris, and Obi Muonelo) all average in double-figures,… more »

Missouri Tigers

Good wins: N-USC, California, at Oklahoma State, at Texas, Kansas, Oklahoma, N-Oklahoma State Bad losses: None. Strengths: 1. Pressure Defense. Mike Anderson has brought Nolan Richardson’s ’40 minutes of hell’ to Columbia.  Missouri will guard you the full 94 feet on just about every possession.  They trap whenever possible and play at a frenetic pace… more »

Bracketography’s 2009 NCAA Tournament Bubble Breakdown

FINAL Update: Selection Sunday, 1:00 pm PT. Without a doubt, this is the most confusing year to try to project the bracket since I started doing this in 2001. I would have no argument with the Selection Committee on selecting ANY of the 9 teams on the “true bubble.” Locks (38): ACC: North Carolina, Wake… more »

Arizona State Sun Devils

Good wins: at San Diego State, BYU, at UCLA, at Arizona, UCLA, Arizona Bad losses: Washington State Strengths: 1. Defense. I saw first-hand this team’s amazing ability to shut down the transition game of the run-and-gun Washington Huskies in late February, even in a loss.  Earlier this season they held the up-tempo Arizona Wildcats to… more »

California Golden Bears

Good wins: at UNLV, at Utah, Arizona, Arizona State, at Washington Bad losses: Oregon State Strengths: 1. Shooting.  The Golden Bears can flat-out shoot, no matter where they are on the court.  They lead the nation in three-point percentage at 44%, they’re second to UCLA in the Pac-10 in overall FG%, and rank 13th nationally… more »

UCLA Bruins

Good wins: Arizona, California, Notre Dame, Washington, at California Bad Losses: None. Strengths: 1. Experience.  Three key players for UCLA have been to three straight Final Fours: Darren Collison, Josh Shipp, and Alfred Aboya.  They’re rarely going to beat themselves (particularly when you consider Ben Howland is on the sidelines).  Collison makes such good decisions… more »

Washington Huskies

Good wins: Oklahoma State, UCLA, at Arizona State, Arizona State, Arizona Bad Losses: at Portland Strengths: 1. Post Presence. Jon Brockman simply does not get enough nationwide publicity.  The senior is UW’s heart-and-soul, averaging a double-double per game at 15 points and 11 rebounds.  While most Pac-10 coaches have done a nice job with second-half… more »

Illinois Fighting Illini

Good Wins: N-Missouri, @Purdue, Michigan, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Purdue, @Ohio State, Minnesota Bad Losses: None, though 33 points at home against Penn State and 36 on the road at Minnesota are concerns. Strengths  1. Defense. A staple of Bruce Weber’s tenure in Champaign, the Fighting Illini can guard most of the top teams in the country,… more »

Arizona Wildcats

Good Wins: San Diego State, Gonzaga, Kansas, Washington, UCLA Bad Losses: at Stanford Strengths: 1. Athleticism. Even without expatriate recruit Brandon Jennings, Jordan Hill, Chase Budinger, and Nic Wise form the most athletic trio on the est Coast.  All three possess a dynamite slashing ability and attack the basket with ferocity. Hill and Budginger in particular have… more »

Team Profile: Portland St – Boise St Recap

Portland State 93, Boise State 81 Though this game had little impact on the NCAA Tournament, in terms of either potential at-large selections or seeding, it was huge for Portland State’s confidence.  Losers of four of their last seven in Big Sky Conference play, the Vikings sorely needed a W against a quality opponent. They… more »

Team Profile: Buffalo at Vermont Recap

Vermont 78, Buffalo 70 The visiting Bulls could do no wrong on offense during the game’s first eight minutes.  Normally-raucous Patrick Gymnasium sounded more like Patrick Library, as the Bulls’ offensive prowess and disruptive defense declawed the Catamounts on both ends of the floor and silenced the crowd early in the game. Senior PG Mike… more »

Team Profile: 2009 Bracket Buster Announced

Sooo…I was waiting for word from the official Bracket Busters site on TV matchups before announcing this, but as that still hasn’t been published, here are the matchups for the 2009 Bracket Buster. Pending the TV announcement, Bracketography.com will continue its long-standing tradition of previewing and recapping each game with a significant influence, or possibly… more »

What a Difference a Coach Makes

This is an article I’ve wanted to write for a long time.  It never felt quite right, though, because I’m not one to bash a sitting coach or a team publicly during a season, particularly a team that I’m fond of watching.  But it appears this story finally has a happy ending, and now seems like… more »

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