Commentary from David Mihm Archive

Full Reaction to the Bracket

Well, like many analysts, I was surprised by many of the seeding decisions by this year’s Selection Committee.  Unlike many analysts, though, I thought that the Committee did an admirable job seeding the top half of the field…which, given the track records of teams seeded below the 8-line at making the final four, should probably… more »

“Sweet 16” Tips for Picking a Winning NCAA Bracket

My Full 2010 NCAA Tournament Predictions: MIDWEST REGION EAST REGION WEST REGION SOUTH REGION 1) The team with the most individual talent does not always win the national championship. In fact, in recent Tournament history, it only seems to happen about half the time. North Carolina won in ’05 with Sean May, Ray Felton, and… more »

Thoughts on the Final Tournament Bracket

Despite the fact this was one of my worst years ever (64/65 teams; only 50/65 within one line), Guerrero’s Committee did a perfectly fine job of selecting the field.  As I wrote in my Bubble Breakdown earlier this morning, I have no problem with the Gators being selected over Illinois. I don’t think the Illini,… more »

Bracketography’s NCAA Tournament Bubble Breakdown

Updated Sunday morning at 8:00 am PT. Bubble Math: 1) A team is only a “lock” if its chance of making the NCAA Tournament as an at-large is better than 95%. I really don’t like moving teams out of “lock” status because they’ve lost four games in a row. 2) 31 teams earn automatic bids… more »

Bracketography’s Saturday Night Bubble S-Curve

Just wanted to hit people with a quick run-down, in case you want to discuss.  I am off to watch the Big East and WAC Finals! Nines Old Dominion (CAA) Clemson UNLV Utah State (WAC) Tens Missouri Minnesota Washington (Pac-10) Florida State Elevens UTEP Louisville Wake Forest California Twelves Siena (MAAC) Cornell (Ivy) Illinois Georgia… more »

Thoughts on the Fourth #1 Seed

At this point, Kansas has all but locked up the overall #1 seed, in the Midwest region.  Syracuse and Kentucky will continue to battle for the #2/#3 line, but because Syracuse can’t play in the East region (whose semi-final and final it hosts), Kentucky will be in the East and Syracuse in the South.  Which… more »

The Heroes and Villains of Championship Week

As the calendar turns to March, America tingles with the anticipation of the Cinderella stories sure to emerge over the course of the next four weeks.  Blissfully ignorant of these “inferior leagues” these last four months, all eyes now turn to conferences like the Colonial, Horizon, and WAC. Especially if you’re a fan of a… more »

California’s Unique Resume

California won its first Pac-10 title in 50 years over the weekend by sweeping the Arizona schools at Haas Pavilion.  Congratulations to Mike Montgomery and all of the players.  Ordinarily that feat would mean a top-four seed, and with this year’s host sites, a first-round placement in San Jose. Not this year, however.  The Pac-10… more »

Thoughts on the 2009 NCAA Tournament Bracket

This is one of the better brackets in recent memory (of course I would say that, given my projection). But top-to-bottom, Mike Slive’s Committee did a fantastic job of selection and seeding. Surprises: Boston College: A 7-seed seems a bit high for a team that lost to Harvard and Saint Louis in the non-conference portion… more »

Bracketography’s 2009 NCAA Tournament Bubble Breakdown

FINAL Update: Selection Sunday, 1:00 pm PT. Without a doubt, this is the most confusing year to try to project the bracket since I started doing this in 2001. I would have no argument with the Selection Committee on selecting ANY of the 9 teams on the “true bubble.” Locks (38): ACC: North Carolina, Wake… more »

Thoughts on the 2008 NCAA Tournament Bracket

First off, let me say that Tom O’Connor’s Selection Committee did an absolutely fabulous job at both selecting and seeding the teams for the 2008 NCAA Tournament.  In my opinion, breaking down the Bubble has never been harder than it was this year, even before the SEC Tournament Tornado, and Georgia and Illinois’ terrific runs… more »

Key Thoughts Heading into Selection Sunday

1) UPDATE: I agree with Joe Lunardi, the Big XII champion will be a #1 seed in the Midwest.  The loser gets the #2 in the South. We saw last year that the Big XII Final has essentially no impact on the seeding of the final bracket, given that the game finished about 11 minutes… more »

The Official 2008 Tournament Bubble Breakdown

Here’s the article I’ll be updating throughout Championship Week to reflect the ever-changing landscape in BubbleLand. I would encourage BracketNation to post its thoughts on teams’ chances on making the NCAA Tournament, as well as seeding discussion, in the comments below. Updated Saturday March 15, 1:00 PT The biggest stories on The Bubble…where to begin?… more »

Bubble Watch: 2/26/08

First, the recap: Big Ten: Ohio State. The Big Ten’s weekly entrant in this column is one loss away from dropping out of the bracket. OSU is an abysmal 1-8 against the RPI Top 50. Fortunately, or unfortunately, for them they still have three opportunities to improve that record: @Indiana, H-Purdue, and H-Michigan State in… more »

Bubble Watch 2/20/08

After a one-week hiatus, we’re back with the weekly Bubble Watch. A quick rundown of the teams featured last time around: Big 10: Indiana Hoosiers. IU is now officially a lock.  After two wins over Big Ten leaders Purdue and Michigan State, Indiana will be in the Tournament.  The bigger question is whether Kelvin Sampson… more »

Kentucky Creeps Into the Bracket Discussion

Heading into a big game against the Vanderbilt Commodores tonight, Billy Gillispie’s team may be one of the hottest in the country (non-Stanford, non-Drake category). Despite a non-conference RPI of 210, which many argued would be Kentucky’s R.I.P., history suggests the Wildcats would be looking awfully strong for an NCAA bid if they can beat… more »

NCAA Tournament Bubble Watch: 2/6/08

First, a review of last week’s Bubble teams: Big Ten – Ohio State Buckeyes. Ugh. Bucks had a chance to solidify their profile last week, but lost at a scrappy Iowa. We’re now starting the all-important “Last 10 games,” and as bad as the Big Ten is this year, Ohio State’s schedule is pretty rough…. more »

Highlights from an Evening with Eddie Sutton

I recently had the distinct honor of attending a get-together organized by a group of University of San Francisco alums in which the Dons’ interim coach, Eddie Sutton, gave a brief presentation and answered questions for a small group of former players, coaches, fans, and one analyst (me). Sutton, approaching his 72nd birthday, without a… more »

NCAA Tournament Bubble Watch: 1/29/08

First, an update on the teams featured in this space last week: Big Ten – Purdue Boilermakers. Perhaps no team answered the bell last week as well as the Boilers. Purdue is now 6-1 in the Big Ten and 3-2 against the RPI top 50 after defeating Penn State and Wisconsin.  Avoiding a trap game… more »

NCAA Tournament Bubble Watch: 1/22/08

In my opinion, it’s still WAY too early to be talking about locks and bubbles, but I know fans are always eager to talk about how the bracket is shaping up at this point in the season. With that in mind, here are a few synopses of what are looking like “controversial” teams on Selection… more »

Bracket Thoughts for the Week of January 13th

A few random musings as I was putting together the bracket this week before we begin our “Bubble Watch” next week in earnest: The four #1 seeds are pretty much set.  I don’t see these changing much in the next eight weeks.  Memphis and UCLA fans can book their tickets to Little Rock and Anaheim,… more »

RPI Stocking Stuffers for the Holidays

Well, we’re nearly at the season’s unofficial midpoint, New Year’s Day. Most teams will be winding down their non-conference schedules in the next 10 days, and BracketNation will have a reasonable idea of where teams positioned themselves with their pre-conference play. Here are a few RPI surprises for you to nibble on that I discovered… more »

Thoughts on the First 2007-2008 Projected Bracket

Well, the first projected bracket of the new season is up. Many of the preseason invitational tournaments are in the books, and teams are starting to build their “bodies of work” for the Selection Committee. It’s still AWFULLY early to start projecting NCAA Tournament teams; the RPI formula is completely unreliable with so few games… more »

Thank You to Our Readers!

Hey all, Just a quick note on this Eve of Turkey Day to say thank you to our loyal audience here at Bracketography.  The site has experienced phenomenal growth over the last three years in particular, and you’re all to thank for it.  I’m hoping that our more interactive comment system this year will encourage… more »

Is the Pac-10 REALLY the Nation’s Top Conference?

For those who might have gone to bed before checking the ESPN ticker last night, chalk another one up for the little guy. St. Mary’s College, the tiny liberal arts school nestled in equally tiny Moraga, California, put on quite a show against Pac-10 power Oregon this evening. McKeon Pavilion was absolutely jam-packed and thunderous… more »

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