Bubble Analysis Archive

Bracketography’s NCAA Tournament Bubble Breakdown

Updated Sunday morning at 8:00 am PT. Bubble Math: 1) A team is only a “lock” if its chance of making the NCAA Tournament as an at-large is better than 95%. I really don’t like moving teams out of “lock” status because they’ve lost four games in a row. 2) 31 teams earn automatic bids… more »

California’s Unique Resume

California won its first Pac-10 title in 50 years over the weekend by sweeping the Arizona schools at Haas Pavilion.  Congratulations to Mike Montgomery and all of the players.  Ordinarily that feat would mean a top-four seed, and with this year’s host sites, a first-round placement in San Jose. Not this year, however.  The Pac-10… more »

Perspectives on St. Mary’s NCAA Tournament Hopes

Let’s play a word game: Barring (fill in the blank), St. Mary’s will be headed back to the NCAA Tournament in 2009. Answer: An injury to Patrick Mills. St. Mary’s was rolling along as a nationally ranked team, 18-1, and in position for its second-consecutive NCAA Tournament berth even without the West Coast Conference’s automatic… more »

The Official 2008 Tournament Bubble Breakdown

Here’s the article I’ll be updating throughout Championship Week to reflect the ever-changing landscape in BubbleLand. I would encourage BracketNation to post its thoughts on teams’ chances on making the NCAA Tournament, as well as seeding discussion, in the comments below. Updated Saturday March 15, 1:00 PT The biggest stories on The Bubble…where to begin?… more »

Bubble Watch: 2/26/08

First, the recap: Big Ten: Ohio State. The Big Ten’s weekly entrant in this column is one loss away from dropping out of the bracket. OSU is an abysmal 1-8 against the RPI Top 50. Fortunately, or unfortunately, for them they still have three opportunities to improve that record: @Indiana, H-Purdue, and H-Michigan State in… more »

Bubble Watch 2/20/08

After a one-week hiatus, we’re back with the weekly Bubble Watch. A quick rundown of the teams featured last time around: Big 10: Indiana Hoosiers. IU is now officially a lock.  After two wins over Big Ten leaders Purdue and Michigan State, Indiana will be in the Tournament.  The bigger question is whether Kelvin Sampson… more »

NCAA Tournament Bubble Watch: 2/6/08

First, a review of last week’s Bubble teams: Big Ten – Ohio State Buckeyes. Ugh. Bucks had a chance to solidify their profile last week, but lost at a scrappy Iowa. We’re now starting the all-important “Last 10 games,” and as bad as the Big Ten is this year, Ohio State’s schedule is pretty rough…. more »

NCAA Tournament Bubble Watch: 1/29/08

First, an update on the teams featured in this space last week: Big Ten – Purdue Boilermakers. Perhaps no team answered the bell last week as well as the Boilers. Purdue is now 6-1 in the Big Ten and 3-2 against the RPI top 50 after defeating Penn State and Wisconsin.  Avoiding a trap game… more »

NCAA Tournament Bubble Watch: 1/22/08

In my opinion, it’s still WAY too early to be talking about locks and bubbles, but I know fans are always eager to talk about how the bracket is shaping up at this point in the season. With that in mind, here are a few synopses of what are looking like “controversial” teams on Selection… more »

NCAA Tournament Bubble Teams – 03/05/07

Here’s a rundown of every team on the bubble and what it needs to do to (virtually) guarantee an NCAA Tournament bid. Teams are listed in order of likelihood to receive an at-large. Those listed as “Win Tournament” still have a chance at receiving an at-large bid with a loss in the final, but it’s… more »

NCAA Tournament Bubble Teams – 02/26/07

This edition, in honor of the regular season’s final week, looks at five teams in “must-win” situations heading into their final games: Syracuse At worst a split of Georgetown at home or Villanova on the road is essential if the Orange want to make the Tournament. The ‘Cuse picked up a nice win at Providence… more »

NCAA Tournament Bubble Teams – 02/19/07

Providence The Friars missed one of their best chances to separate themselves from the bubble by losing late at Notre Dame on Thursday. PC may need to sweep their remaining regular-season games (home to West Virginia and Syracuse, at South Florida and St. John’s) to get serious consideration. Purdue It was an excellent week for… more »

NCAA Tournament Bubble Teams – 02/12/07

Missouri State The official BracketBuster event is this coming weekend, but we saw an unofficial elimination game in the Missouri Valley Conference on Saturday. The Bears of Missouri State went into Cedar Falls and knocked off Northern Iowa, taking the Panthers out of contention for an at-large bid, and virtually assuring themselves of their own… more »

NCAA Tournament Bubble Teams – 02/04/07

It’s the NCAA version of six degrees of separation this week…except there are only two degrees…can you spot the key link in the chain? Illinois The Fighting Illini held off Michigan State in Champaign on Tuesday, despite horrendous free-throw shooting down the stretch, and now have themselves in position to make a late-season run. Illinois’… more »

NCAA Tournament Bubble Teams – 01/29/07

This week, we’re going to focus on the Missouri Valley Conference, where things are heating up not only in the conference race, but in positioning for the NCAA Tournament. There is simply no way to predict which teams will hear their names called on Selection Sunday at this point. Southern Illinois has all but locked… more »

NCAA Tournament Bubble Teams – 01/22/07

Boston College The big off-court news this week came out of Chestnut Hill, as BC coach Al Skinner dismissed Sean Williams and Akida McLain from the team for disciplinary reasons. BC will likely present a case similar to Cincinnati’s last year after it lost Armein Kirkland, albeit to injury rather than suspension/dismissal. And Bearcats fans… more »

NCAA Tournament Bubble Teams – 01/15/07

Northern Iowa It was rough past week for the Panthers, as they gave up their MVC lead with losses at Illinois State and at home to Creighton. Things don’t get any easier for UNI, as they sandwich a home game with surprising Indiana State between trips to MoState and SIU. It’ll take a great Valley… more »

Winthrop Eagles

Winthrop was seconds away from sending its 2006 first round NCAA Tournament game with Tennessee to overtime in its attempt to become the third-ever 15-seed to pull off an upset. Then Tennessee guard Chris Lofton ruined the Eagles’ season. A fall-away jump shot off a sideline inbounds pass made the Eagles were the victim a… more »

Latest Headlines

Browse Archives By Author

Browse By Category