Well, like many analysts, I was surprised by many of the seeding decisions by this year’s Selection Committee.  Unlike many analysts, though, I thought that the Committee did an admirable job seeding the top half of the field…which, given the track records of teams seeded below the 8-line at making the final four, should probably [...]

All teams (and conferences) below are listed in order on my S-Curve. UPDATED: Sunday morning at 8:45 am Pacific Time. Locks (57) Big East (11) Pittsburgh, Notre Dame, Syracuse, UConn, Louisville, West Virginia, St. John’s, Cincinnati, Georgetown, Marquette, Villanova Big Ten (3) Ohio State, Wisconsin, Purdue Big 12 (4) Kansas, Texas, Texas A&M, Kansas State [...]

Despite the fact this was one of my worst years ever (64/65 teams; only 50/65 within one line), Guerrero’s Committee did a perfectly fine job of selecting the field.  As I wrote in my Bubble Breakdown earlier this morning, I have no problem with the Gators being selected over Illinois. I don’t think the Illini, [...]

Updated Sunday morning at 8:00 am PT. Bubble Math: 1) A team is only a “lock” if its chance of making the NCAA Tournament as an at-large is better than 95%. I really don’t like moving teams out of “lock” status because they’ve lost four games in a row. 2) 31 teams earn automatic bids [...]

Just wanted to hit people with a quick run-down, in case you want to discuss.  I am off to watch the Big East and WAC Finals! Nines Old Dominion (CAA) Clemson UNLV Utah State (WAC) Tens Missouri Minnesota Washington (Pac-10) Florida State Elevens UTEP Louisville Wake Forest California Twelves Siena (MAAC) Cornell (Ivy) Illinois Georgia [...]

Siena faced a double-digit deficit as shots misfired, the defense was sliced, and 10,679 green and gold followers sat in their Times Union Center seats silent and confused. But does it matter? It’s Siena. The Saints are the unchallenged, two-time defending MAAC Champion. They’re going to make a run and blow out Fairfield. That run [...]

At this point, Kansas has all but locked up the overall #1 seed, in the Midwest region.  Syracuse and Kentucky will continue to battle for the #2/#3 line, but because Syracuse can’t play in the East region (whose semi-final and final it hosts), Kentucky will be in the East and Syracuse in the South.  Which [...]

New kids, Fairfield, ride senior to advance to Championship vs. Siena Fairfield was the only semifinal participant that wasn’t in at least one of the last two MAAC Championships. Matter fact, they haven’t played on MAAC Championship Monday since the 2003 season. But down the stretch, the No. 2 seed Stags looked like the experienced [...]

Niagara come into the ’09-’10 season with high expectations. They were expected to be right behind frontrunner Siena, and were predicted to head to the MAAC Championship game behind the leadership of Tyrone Lewis. After an up-and-down campaign, the Purple Eagles might be realizing that potential at the right time. Niagara, ranked No. 6, struggled [...]

St. Peter’s rode a stingy defense to Albany in hopes of making a run at the MAAC crown. But it’s offensive inefficiency early in Saturday’s MAAC quarterfinal game prevented that defense from ever making the No. 5 seed Rider Broncos uncomfortable. Rider, led by 1st Team All–MAAC selection Ryan Thompson, displayed it’s own defensive prowess [...]