RESULTS OF THE 2002 PROJECTION

I projected 64/65 teams correctly, with Charlotte OUT and Butler IN. Of the 64, I projected 31 seeds exactly and another 24 within one line of their actual seed (which the Committee is allowed to move due to conference conflicts, travel considerations, and regular season rematches). So that's 55/65, I guess you could say, for a .846 accuracy rating. Last year I got 51/65 for a .785 accuracy rating, although I did have a much better exact seed ratio, with 43/51.

Teams that I was way off on this year were Gonzaga (3 seeds) and Michigan State (4 seeds--the Committee obviously did not take injuries into account with this team). For bonus points, I got 8/14 on first-round siting of team that both I and the Committee had as top 4 seeds. Not great, but you can't really fault me here--it was the first go-round for these goofy new rules. Joe Lunardi of ESPN.com also got 64/65 teams in the tournament but only 52/65 within one line (.800). And, by my calculations (he didn't put his own stats out on this figure), only got 28 exactly right.