NCAA Tournament Bracket Projections - NCAA Tournament Seeding Predictions - NCAA Bracket Projection History -

NCAA Tournament Bracket Projection History

Career Performance Data

Even after a career-worst performance at projecting the strange 2006 bracket (just 47 teams within one line of their seed), Bracketography's career accuracy level still stands at over 82%. Despite Joe Lunardi's wild exaggerations ("I probably have a better grasp of this than any human being on earth."**), this mark puts Bracketography dead-even with Bracketology over the last six years. In a tie-breaker, Bracketography holds a 7-team advantage on projecting exact seeds over Bracketology.

Contrary to what some fans have speculated, I do not hate Joe Lunardi. In fact, if it weren't for Joe, this site wouldn't exist; he's a significant catalyst of the frenzy that has become March Madness over the past several years. For those who follow our rivalry closely, Joe's and my projections tend to look pretty similar on a weekly basis. And despite the constant pressures associated with being a national media figure, I think Joe's arguments and predictions on-air, in his blog, and in e-mail chats, are frequently dead-on.

I forward to setting a new career-best mark in 2007, and continuing my good-natured rivalry with Joe.

David Mihm
Founder and Editor

**Lunardi quoted in a February 21, 2004 article in the Lansing State Journal

All teams: 382 / 390 .979
At-large teams:: 196 / 204 .961
Teams projected to their exact seed: 182 / 390 .467
Within one line of exact seed*: 323 / 390 .828
* the Selection Committee is allowed to move teams one line from their true seed if there are conference, regular-season, or geographic conflicts. This number represents a bracket analyst's true accuracy rating.
Year By Year Performance